1
Claymore
7yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 99
Ascot · Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 3f 211y
#8
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength25%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.9
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Newmarket | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Windsor | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Carlisle | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Meydan | ? | 8th | 11th | −3 |
| 2026-02-20 | Meydan | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Meydan | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 10
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength83%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/2025 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 22% | -0.38 |
| 14/08/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 38% | -0.44 |
| 17/12/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 16/01/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 91% | +0.54 |
| 20/02/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 06/03/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.35 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 04/07/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 36% | -0.24 |