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5

Enemy

9yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 95

Ascot · Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 3f 211y

#10

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Veteran who scored on all-weather in January/February. Not at his best since, although he possibly found the run coming too soon when last of 12 to Sportingsilvermine in handicap at Newmarket (1½m, firm) 35 days ago. Cheekpieces back on now and this course winner can't be ruled out.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 2
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Kempton 03/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 94 · 1m7f218y Sta 138 · beat its mark03/12/2025 · OR 94 par3/122OR 942 @ Southwell 12/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 94 · 2m102y Std 134 · beat its mark12/12/2025 · OR 94 par3 @ Southwell 01/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 93 · 1m4f14y Std 138 · beat its mark01/01/2026 · OR 93 par1/013OR 932 @ Wolverhampton 06/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 97 · 2m120y Std 134 · beat its mark06/02/2026 · OR 97 par2 @ Lingfield 27/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 97 · 1m7f169y Std 131 · beat its mark27/02/2026 · OR 97 par27/022OR 972 @ Newcastle 03/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 100 · 2m56y Std 136 · below its mark03/04/2026 · OR 100 par2 @ Carlisle 30/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 100 · 1m3f39y Goo 137 · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 100 par30/052OR 1002 @ Royal Ascot 16/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR 98 · 1m6f34y GF 136 · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 98 par2 @ Newmarket 04/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 97 · 1m4f GF 132 · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 97 par4/072OR 97projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-04Newmarket212th12th0
2026-06-16Royal Ascot29th9th0
2026-05-30Carlisle29th9th0
2026-04-03Newcastle210th10th0
2026-02-27Lingfield21st1st0
2026-02-06Wolverhampton23rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/126/0230/054/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength32%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/12/20255th11/271%64%-0.07
12/12/20255th7/282%50%-0.32
01/01/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
06/02/20263rd11/271%60%-0.11
27/02/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
03/04/202610th11/142%18%-0.24
30/05/20269th50/10%27%+0.27
16/06/20269th50/10%47%+0.47
04/07/202612th50/10%0%0.00