2
Insanity
6yo Gelding · 10-1 · OR 98
Ascot · Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 3f 211y
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 2
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Pontefract | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Doncaster | 2 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-10-11 | York | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-22 | York | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Ascot | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength79%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 17% | -0.65 |
| 21/06/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 11/07/2025 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 09/08/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 22/08/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 11/10/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 92% | +0.27 |
| 08/11/2025 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 48% | +0.48 |
| 21/04/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 19/06/2026 | 13th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |