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8

Sportingsilvermine

5yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 91

Ascot · Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 3f 211y

#9

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Advanced his form this summer when gaining a second success in handicap at Newmarket (1½m). Beat only one turned out under a 5 lb penalty in John Smith's Cup at York since. No surprise to see him bounce back after a break.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Doncaster 25/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 85 · 1m2f43y Hvy 121 · beat its mark25/10/2025 · OR 85 par25/102OR 853 @ Musselburgh 04/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 84 · 1m5f216y Sft 124 · below its mark04/04/2026 · OR 84 par4 @ Newbury 18/04/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 82 · 1m2f Goo 132 · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 82 par18/044OR 824 @ Chester 08/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 80 · 1m4f63y Goo 138 · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 80 par4 @ York 13/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 17 · OR 80 · 1m3f188y Gd 130 · beat its mark13/05/2026 · OR 80 par13/054OR 804 @ Beverley 30/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 77 · 1m1f207y Goo 127 · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 77 par2 @ York 12/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 86 · 1m2f56y Gd 122 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 86 par12/062OR 862 @ Newmarket 04/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 86 · 1m4f GF 121 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 86 par2 @ York 11/07/2026 · Pos 21st of 22 · OR 86 · 1m2f56y Goo 124 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 86 par11/072OR 86projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11York221th21th0
2026-07-04Newmarket21st1st0
2026-06-12York23rd3rd0
2026-05-30Beverley41st3rd−2
2026-05-13York47th9th−2
2026-05-08Chester410th12th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/108/0512/0611/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength53%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/10/20257th11/142%33%-0.09
04/04/202612th12/137%8%-0.29
18/04/202613th18/15%8%+0.02
08/05/202610th7/163%36%-0.27
13/05/20267th22/10%63%+0.63
30/05/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
12/06/20263rd11/142%87%+0.45
04/07/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
11/07/202621st22/10%5%+0.05