8
Cape Ashizuri
3yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 91
Ascot · Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Handicap) · 6f
#10
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.1
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | York | 2 | 19th | 19th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Pontefract | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-04 | Redcar | 5 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2025-09-13 | Doncaster | 1 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-07-06 | Ayr | 5 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 13/09/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/11/2025 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 93% | -0.02 |
| 21/04/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 13/06/2026 | 19th | 22/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |