Jel Pepper
3yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 92
Ascot · Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Handicap) · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Salisbury | 3 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-01 | Windsor | 3 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Newmarket | 1 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Newcastle | 1 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Newmarket | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-11 | Doncaster | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 10/07/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 04/08/2025 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 85% | -0.07 |
| 11/09/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 70% | -0.09 |
| 04/10/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 03/04/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 01/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 01/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 44% | -0.03 |
| 30/06/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |