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3

May Angel

3yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 94

Ascot · Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Handicap) · 6f

#9

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Useful sort who won a 7f novice last year. Ran up to his best when eighth of 13 in handicap at Newmarket (6f, good to firm) on most recent outing but needs more if he's to defy his current mark in a race of this nature.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength45%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.5
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newmarket 21/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 7f GF 13021/0645 @ Southwell 28/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 7f14y Std 1331 @ York 20/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 7f Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS20/0811 @ Newbury 25/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 95 · 7f Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/10/2025 · OR 95 par2 @ Newbury 17/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 95 · 7f Gd 135 · beat its mark17/04/2026 · OR 95 par17/042OR 952 @ Ascot 08/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 95 · 7f Goo 134 · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 95 par2 @ Royal Ascot 19/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 27 · OR 95 · 5f GF 126 · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 95 par19/062OR 952 @ Newmarket 09/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 95 · 6f Goo 129 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 95 par9/072OR 95projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-09Newmarket28th8th0
2026-06-19Royal Ascot28th8th0
2026-05-08Ascot23rd3rd0
2026-04-17Newbury23rd3rd0
2025-10-25Newbury16th4th+1
2025-08-20York15th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0625/1019/069/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength76%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/06/20255th13/266%0%-0.66
28/07/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
20/08/20255th12/137%33%-0.04
25/10/20256th11/142%17%-0.25
17/04/20263rd11/271%85%+0.14
08/05/20263rd4/179%78%-0.01
19/06/20268th25/10%73%+0.73
09/07/20268th14/126%42%+0.15