Shaatir
3yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 94
Ascot · Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Handicap) · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | Newmarket | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Chantilly | 1 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-06-17 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 12th | 10th | +2 |
| 2025-06-03 | Lingfield | 5 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-05-21 | Chepstow | 4 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |
| 03/06/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 17/06/2025 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 08/03/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 14/04/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 25% | +0.20 |