Blue Hercules
3yo Colt · 9-10 · OR 86
Ascot · Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 3f 211y
#6
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 6.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Ascot | 2 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 18th | 17th | +1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Chepstow | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Newbury | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Newbury | 2 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/05/2026 | 4th | 125/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 29/05/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 18/06/2026 | 18th | 80/1 | 0% | 6% | +0.06 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 86% | +0.80 |