2
Hoseki
3yo Filly · 9-12 · OR 88
Ascot · Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 3f 211y
#1
Rank
Odds
13/8
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
100%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength15%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Ascot | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Chester | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Redcar | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-18 | Newcastle | 5 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2025-10-25 | Newbury | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 18/11/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 26/05/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 10/07/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |