7
King Of Berkshire
3yo Colt · 9-3 · OR 79
Ascot · Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 3f 211y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#2
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength23%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Ascot | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Sandown | 5 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-06-05 | Thirsk | 5 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-18 | Windsor | 5 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-04-30 | Redcar | 5 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-04-21 | Yarmouth | 5 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength39%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 60% | -0.32 |
| 11/10/2025 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 26/03/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 70% | +0.17 |
| 21/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |
| 30/04/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 18/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 12/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/13 | 97% | 33% | -0.63 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |