8
Level Look
3yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 78
Ascot · Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 3f 211y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength12%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Chester | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-17 | Newmarket | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-01-09 | Newcastle | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-22 | Lingfield | 5 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2025-12-01 | Kempton | 5 | 10th | 12th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 10
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength40%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/12/2025 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/12/2025 | 4th | 200/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 09/01/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 17/07/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 02/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |