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9

Ohara

3yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 76

Ascot · Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 3f 211y

#10

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Decisive winner of a nursery at Pontefract (1m, heavy) at the end of last season and turned in a career-best effort when second of 4 in handicap (5/1) at Chepstow (1½m, good to firm) in July. Refused to settle back in a deeper race over C&D last time, though, and needs to bounce back.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲2
Strength23%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Ascot 12/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 7f GF 127 · HIGHER CLASS12/0722 @ Ripon 16/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Epsom Downs 28/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 78 · 7f3y Goo 134 · below its mark28/09/2025 · OR 78 par28/094OR 785 @ Bath 09/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 75 · 1m Goo 131 · beat its mark09/10/2025 · OR 75 par5 @ Pontefract 20/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 71 · 1m6y Sft 134 · beat its mark20/10/2025 · OR 71 par20/105OR 714 @ Windsor 11/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 77 · 1m31y Goo 132 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 77 par4 @ Sandown 12/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 77 · 1m1f209y Gd 132 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 77 par12/064OR 775 @ Chepstow 03/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 75 · 1m4f Goo 135 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 75 par4 @ Ascot 25/07/2026 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR 77 · 1m3f211y GF 128 · below its mark25/07/2026 · OR 77 par25/074OR 77projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Ascot415th16th−1
2026-07-03Chepstow52nd4th−2
2026-06-12Sandown48th9th−1
2026-05-11Windsor49th10th−1
2025-10-20Pontefract51st3rd−2
2025-10-09Bath54th6th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/079/1012/0625/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength53%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/07/20253rd10/147%85%+0.37
16/08/20255th11/486%64%-0.22
28/09/20257th7/163%0%-0.63
09/10/20254th11/142%67%+0.25
20/10/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
11/05/20269th22/10%27%+0.27
12/06/20268th22/10%36%+0.36
03/07/20262nd5/174%67%-0.07
25/07/202615th11/271%0%-0.71