5
Pierre Grosse
3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 85
Ascot · Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 3f 211y
#9
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: BHA79
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Curragh | ? | 2nd | 8th | −5 |
| 2026-06-20 | Down Royal | BHA79 | 2nd | 8th | −5 |
| 2026-06-05 | Fairyhouse | ? | 4th | 10th | −5 |
| 2026-05-09 | Naas | BHA81 | 2nd | 8th | −5 |
| 2026-04-12 | Leopardstown | BHA80 | 3rd | 9th | −5 |
| 2025-10-12 | Naas | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength83%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 63% | +0.57 |
| 19/08/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 12/10/2025 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 12/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |
| 19/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |