6
Royal Poetry
3yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 80
Ascot · Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 3f 211y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength15%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Salisbury | 5 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-07-18 | Doncaster | 5 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-09 | Salisbury | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Newmarket | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Salisbury | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength92%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 85% | +0.24 |
| 30/03/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 63% | -0.24 |
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 03/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 09/06/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |