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7

Bullet Point

5yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 101

Ascot · Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) (Rnd) · 7f 213y

#6

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Smart last year when winning a valuable York handicap last August. Needed his return in May and would have been a lot closer at Newbury last time granted luck in running so he could achieve a lot more now dropped 3 lb and fitted with first-time cheekpieces after 84 days off.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength37%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.8
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newcastle 15/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 74 · 1m5y Std 134 · beat its mark15/10/2024 · OR 74 par15/105OR 743 @ Newmarket 02/11/2024 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 83 · 1m Sft 131 · beat its mark02/11/2024 · OR 83 par2 @ Newmarket 17/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 89 · 1m Gd 124 · beat its mark17/04/2025 · OR 89 par17/042OR 892 @ Royal Ascot 18/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 30 · OR 97 · 1m GF 129 · beat its mark18/06/2025 · OR 97 par2 @ Ascot 26/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 17 · OR 100 · 1m Goo 138 · beat its mark26/07/2025 · OR 100 par26/072OR 1002 @ York 21/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 17 · OR 100 · 7f192y Goo 138 · beat its mark21/08/2025 · OR 100 par1 @ York 23/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 103 · 1m177y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/08/2025 · OR 103 par23/081OR 1032 @ Newmarket 02/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 105 · 1m1f GF 138 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 105 par2 @ Newbury 16/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR 104 · 1m Goo 137 · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 104 par16/052OR 104projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-16Newbury212th12th0
2026-05-02Newmarket27th7th0
2025-08-23York17th5th+1
2025-08-21York21st1st0
2025-07-26Ascot22nd2nd0
2025-06-18Royal Ascot22nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/1018/0623/0816/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength9%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/10/20241st5/493%100%+0.07
02/11/20241st12/137%100%+0.63
17/04/20251st6/168%100%+0.32
18/06/20252nd11/142%97%+0.54
26/07/20252nd5/287%94%+0.07
21/08/20251st15/890%100%+0.10
23/08/20257th9/488%14%-0.74
02/05/20267th4/179%45%-0.33
16/05/202612th11/271%21%-0.50