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6

Fondo Blanco

4yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 102

Ascot · Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) (Rnd) · 7f 213y

#4

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Progressive at 3 yrs, winning at Haydock before good fourth in listed company at Nottingham. Drawn on the wrong side in the Buckingham Palace at the Royal Meeting on return so worth another chance with a tongue strap now applied.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ York 11/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 6f Sft 13011/1035 @ Doncaster 25/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 6f2y Goo 1374 @ Newmarket 17/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 85 · 7f GF 135 · beat its mark17/05/2025 · OR 85 par17/054OR 853 @ Leicester 26/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 85 · 6f Goo 132 · beat its mark26/05/2025 · OR 85 par4 @ Southwell 17/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 85 · 7f14y Std 135 · beat its mark17/08/2025 · OR 85 par17/084OR 853 @ Ascot 05/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 88 · 7f Sft 131 · beat its mark05/09/2025 · OR 88 par2 @ Haydock 27/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 90 · 7f212y Goo 124 · beat its mark27/09/2025 · OR 90 par27/092OR 901 @ Nottingham 29/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 101 · 1m75y Sft 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/10/2025 · OR 101 par2 @ Royal Ascot 18/06/2026 · Pos 21st of 28 · OR 103 · 7f GF 136 · below its mark18/06/2026 · OR 103 par18/062OR 103projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-18Royal Ascot221th21th0
2025-10-29Nottingham14th3rd+1
2025-09-27Haydock21st1st0
2025-09-05Ascot32nd3rd−1
2025-08-17Southwell42nd4th−2
2025-05-26Leicester37th8th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/1026/0527/0918/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength15%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/10/20241st4/596%100%+0.04
25/04/20252nd3/184%92%+0.07
17/05/20252nd9/488%86%-0.02
26/05/20257th16/583%50%-0.33
17/08/20252nd6/492%89%-0.03
05/09/20252nd4/179%90%+0.11
27/09/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
29/10/20254th15/261%57%-0.03
18/06/202621st50/10%26%+0.26