4
Mister Winston
4yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 103
Ascot · Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) (Rnd) · 7f 213y
#7
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 2
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Goodwood | 2 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 23th | 23th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Epsom Downs | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Newmarket | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Newmarket | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Newmarket | 2 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength22%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 09/08/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 24/08/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 70% | -0.14 |
| 27/09/2025 | 15th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 14/04/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 02/05/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 55% | -0.28 |
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 17/06/2026 | 23rd | 16/1 | 16% | 19% | +0.03 |
| 31/07/2026 | 14th | 22/1 | 0% | 24% | +0.24 |