9
Ozat
5yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 97
Ascot · Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) (Rnd) · 7f 213y
#10
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 12.1 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.8
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Goodwood | 2 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Sandown | 2 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Epsom Downs | 2 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Newbury | 2 | 19th | 19th | 0 |
| 2025-11-11 | Strasbourg | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength65%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/2025 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 21/08/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 26/09/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 88% | +0.27 |
| 11/11/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 18/04/2026 | 19th | 80/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 05/06/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 17/06/2026 | 8th | 125/1 | 0% | 74% | +0.74 |
| 04/07/2026 | 14th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/07/2026 | 15th | 18/1 | 5% | 18% | +0.12 |