8
Popmaster
8yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 97
Ascot · Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) (Rnd) · 7f 213y
#5
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength36%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.2
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Sandown | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Epsom Downs | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Ascot | 2 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Newcastle | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Lingfield | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Kempton | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength93%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 07/01/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 83% | -0.08 |
| 04/02/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 25/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |
| 27/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 89% | +0.18 |
| 03/04/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 09/05/2026 | 15th | 40/1 | 0% | 48% | +0.48 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |