9
Black Cuillin
2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 55
Ayr · A McKie Builders EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Pontefract | 6 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-08 | Pontefract | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Pontefract | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/06/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 70% | +0.28 |
| 07/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |