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2yo Gelding · 9-7

Ayr · A McKie Builders EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

10,000 gns Rajasinghe gelding out of a useful sprinter. Little impact in 5f Beverley maiden (very well backed and green) and Newcastle novice. Hood goes on and he looks one for nurseries.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength73%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Beverley 04/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 5f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS4/0542 @ Newcastle 27/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 5f Sta 130 · HIGHER CLASS27/062projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-27Newcastle26th2nd+3
2026-05-04Beverley46th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0527/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength39%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/05/20266th6/492%38%-0.55
27/06/20266th16/116%0%-0.16