Roman Crystal
2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 67
Ayr · A McKie Builders EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
85%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Thirsk | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-10 | York | 2 | 4th | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-07-01 | Thirsk | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Ripon | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 01/07/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |