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3

Draupnir

4yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 70

Ayr · Book Ladbrokes Ayr Gold Cup Ladies Day Handicap · 1m 2f

#10

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won at Thirsk in September and started the season in good form at Thirsk/Hamilton. Not so good at York the last twice but could bounce back over this trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength71%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Ripon 19/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 70 · 1m1f170y Sft 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/07/2025 · OR 70 par19/074OR 705 @ Salisbury 29/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 68 · 1m Goo 135 · beat its mark29/08/2025 · OR 68 par5 @ Thirsk 15/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 67 · 7f Sft 132 · beat its mark15/09/2025 · OR 67 par15/095OR 675 @ Catterick 01/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 72 · 7f6y Sft 135 · beat its mark01/10/2025 · OR 72 par4 @ Thirsk 18/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 72 · 7f Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/04/2026 · OR 72 par18/044OR 724 @ Hamilton 15/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 72 · 1m1f35y Gd 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 72 par4 @ Hamilton 04/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 72 · 1m1f35y Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 72 par4/064OR 724 @ York 27/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 72 · 1m5f188y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 72 par4 @ York 25/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 72 · 7f192y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 72 par25/074OR 72projClass-projected finish: 8th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25York410th9th+1
2026-06-27York47th6th+1
2026-06-04Hamilton43rd2nd+1
2026-05-15Hamilton45th4th+1
2026-04-18Thirsk43rd2nd+1
2025-10-01Catterick57th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/071/104/0625/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 13
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength8%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 12th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/07/20258th16/116%13%-0.03
29/08/20253rd15/261%50%-0.11
15/09/20251st12/137%100%+0.63
01/10/20257th15/261%45%-0.15
18/04/20263rd14/126%83%+0.57
15/05/20265th18/581%56%-0.25
04/06/20263rd10/382%71%-0.11
27/06/20267th14/126%14%-0.12
25/07/202610th33/10%36%+0.36