Faeberon
3yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 73
Ayr · Book Ladbrokes Ayr Gold Cup Ladies Day Handicap · 1m 2f
#8
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Thirsk | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Doncaster | 3 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2025-10-02 | Newcastle | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-04 | Haydock | 3 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2025 | 7th | 11/8 | 93% | 25% | -0.68 |
| 02/10/2025 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 28/03/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 28/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |