12
Path To Peace
3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 67
Ayr · Book Ladbrokes Ayr Gold Cup Ladies Day Handicap · 1m 2f
#13
Rank
Odds
150/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 11.9 /10 (raw 8.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -3.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Fairyhouse | ? | 6th | 10th | −3 |
| 2026-06-04 | Leopardstown | ? | 10th | 14th | −3 |
| 2026-05-10 | Leopardstown | ? | 9th | 13th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength71%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 04/06/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 01/07/2026 | 6th | 150/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |