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Tiger

4yo Gelding · 10-7 · OR 75

Ayr · Book Ladbrokes Ayr Gold Cup Ladies Day Handicap · 1m 2f

#3

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Raised his game appreciably after a 7-week break to open his style in this country emphatically in 10.3f Chester handicap on Sunday, forging clear. Good shout under a penalty if in the same sort of form.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength87%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Saint-Cloud 03/06/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1193/06C?4 @ Newbury 20/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 83 · 1m Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/09/2025 · OR 83 par2 @ York 10/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 80 · 1m2f56y Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/10/2025 · OR 80 par10/102OR 803 @ Newbury 25/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 77 · 1m2f Sft 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/10/2025 · OR 77 par2 @ Southwell 28/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 76 · 1m4f14y Std 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/11/2025 · OR 76 par28/112OR 764 @ Nottingham 09/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 75 · 1m75y Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 75 par4 @ Goodwood 05/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 75 · 1m3f218y GS 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 75 par5/064OR 755 @ Doncaster 14/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 73 · 1m3f197y Goo 140 · beat its mark14/06/2026 · OR 73 par4 @ Chester 02/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 75 · 1m2f70y Gd 138 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/08/2026 · OR 75 par2/084OR 75projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-02Chester41st0th+1
2026-06-14Doncaster52nd2nd0
2026-06-05Goodwood44th3rd+1
2026-05-09Nottingham46th5th+1
2025-11-28Southwell24th0th+3
2025-10-25Newbury33rd1st+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0625/105/062/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 13
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength93%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/06/202510th11/142%0%-0.42
20/09/20257th40/10%57%+0.57
10/10/20256th40/10%29%+0.29
25/10/20253rd22/10%83%+0.83
28/11/20254th17/255%50%-0.05
09/05/20266th16/116%50%+0.34
05/06/20264th4/179%63%-0.16
14/06/20262nd11/893%80%-0.13
02/08/20261st2/189%100%+0.11