Bravais
6yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 85
Ayr · Unite Ewing Hope's Happy Retirement Handicap · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | Chester | 2 | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2026-03-07 | Wolverhampton | 2 | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2026-01-28 | Kempton | 2 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2026-01-01 | Southwell | 2 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-12-11 | Chelmsford City | 2 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-08-31 | Tipperary | BHA102 | 2nd | 9th | −6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 23/07/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 03/08/2025 | 15th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/08/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 11/12/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/01/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/01/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/03/2026 | 11th | 125/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 08/05/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |