6
High Point
5yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 80
Ayr · Unite Ewing Hope's Happy Retirement Handicap · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Hamilton | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Yarmouth | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Kempton | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Kempton | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Huntingdon | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-12-21 | Fakenham | 4 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength51%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/2025 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 10% | -0.32 |
| 14/09/2025 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 27/09/2025 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 17/10/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 43% | -0.26 |
| 11/03/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 25/03/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 27/05/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/06/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 01/08/2026 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |