9
Jannas Journey
5yo Mare · 9-3 · OR 79
Ayr · Unite Ewing Hope's Happy Retirement Handicap · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
18%
Place Prob
30%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength51%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Hamilton | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Carlisle | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | York | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Carlisle | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-20 | Ayr | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Ascot | 2 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength68%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2025 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 04/04/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 12/04/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 09/05/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 20/05/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 30% | -0.07 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 63% | +0.57 |
| 12/06/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | 0.00 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 16/07/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |