4

Milteye

6yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 84

Ayr · Unite Ewing Hope's Happy Retirement Handicap · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

All the sharper for his reappearance in the Spring Mile at Doncaster when getting up close home to deny stablemate On The River at Ripon (1m) in April. Ran no sort of race at Redcar a couple of months later, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength54%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Carlisle 05/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 67 · 1m1f Sft 141 · beat its mark05/07/2025 · OR 67 par5/075OR 675 @ Beverley 21/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 70 · 1m1f207y Sft 140 · beat its mark21/07/2025 · OR 70 par5 @ Carlisle 01/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 70 · 1m1f Gd 142 · beat its mark01/09/2025 · OR 70 par1/095OR 704 @ Pontefract 18/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 73 · 1m6y GS 133 · beat its mark18/09/2025 · OR 73 par2 @ Nottingham 02/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 77 · 1m2f50y Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/10/2025 · OR 77 par2/102OR 774 @ Leicester 28/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 77 · 1m53y Sft 134 · beat its mark28/10/2025 · OR 77 par2 @ Doncaster 28/03/2026 · Pos 22nd of 22 · OR 82 · 1m Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/03/2026 · OR 82 par28/032OR 824 @ Ripon 16/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 82 · 1m GS 138 · beat its mark16/04/2026 · OR 82 par3 @ Redcar 19/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 85 · 7f219y Gd 137 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 85 par19/063OR 85projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-19Redcar38th7th+1
2026-04-16Ripon41st1st0
2026-03-28Doncaster222th20th+2
2025-10-28Leicester41st1st0
2025-10-02Nottingham26th4th+2
2025-09-18Pontefract42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0718/0928/0319/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 10
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength49%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 6th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/07/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
21/07/20253rd7/593%67%-0.26
01/09/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
18/09/20252nd2/189%88%-0.02
02/10/20256th13/266%50%-0.16
28/10/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
28/03/202622nd40/10%0%0.00
16/04/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
19/06/20268th9/153%30%-0.23