Walsingham
6yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 85
Ayr · Unite Ewing Hope's Happy Retirement Handicap · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Goodwood | 2 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-07-05 | Ayr | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Epsom Downs | 2 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-05-14 | York | 2 | 12th | 10th | +2 |
| 2026-04-29 | Pontefract | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Ripon | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 05/09/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 25/10/2025 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 8% | -0.08 |
| 16/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 29/04/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 14/05/2026 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 35% | +0.30 |
| 05/06/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 59% | +0.59 |
| 05/07/2026 | 10th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 31/07/2026 | 5th | 100/1 | 0% | 76% | +0.76 |