Annie Edson Taylor
5yo Mare · 9-13 · OR 64
Ayr · Christmas Parties At Western House Hotel Handicap · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Hamilton | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Thirsk | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Newcastle | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Newcastle | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-10-23 | Nottingham | 5 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Ripon | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |
| 03/09/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 21/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 27/09/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 55% | -0.22 |
| 23/10/2025 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 18% | -0.42 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 19/05/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 17/06/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |