10
Highfield Sunshine
4yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 57
Ayr · Christmas Parties At Western House Hotel Handicap · 6f
#13
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength53%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Catterick | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Doncaster | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Catterick | 5 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-10-02 | Newcastle | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-09-15 | Thirsk | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 13
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength56%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 10th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/2025 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 10% | -0.48 |
| 13/08/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 05/09/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 78% | +0.12 |
| 15/09/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 02/10/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 18/10/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 08/04/2026 | 11th | 8/1 | 58% | 9% | -0.49 |
| 06/06/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |