Impressor
9yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 63
Ayr · Christmas Parties At Western House Hotel Handicap · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | Hamilton | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Hamilton | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-18 | Carlisle | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Thirsk | 5 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Musselburgh | 4 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2026-03-29 | Doncaster | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 24/10/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 62% | +0.46 |
| 28/10/2025 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 25% | -0.17 |
| 29/03/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 81% | +0.81 |
| 12/04/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 18/04/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 47% | +0.21 |
| 18/05/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 55% | +0.12 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 10/06/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |