7
Masai Angel
3yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 62
Ayr · Christmas Parties At Western House Hotel Handicap · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength96%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Thirsk | 5 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Ripon | 4 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-04-20 | Newcastle | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-06-15 | Hamilton | 2 | 5th | 0th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 13
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength17%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 20/04/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 17/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 01/07/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 10% | +0.05 |