Mr Cool
4yo Gelding · 10-3 · OR 68
Ayr · Christmas Parties At Western House Hotel Handicap · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
94%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Ayr | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Pontefract | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Carlisle | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Hamilton | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Ripon | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Pontefract | 4 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 56% | +0.13 |
| 20/05/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 02/06/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 25% | -0.30 |
| 18/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 25/06/2026 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 33% | -0.57 |
| 09/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 17/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 27/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |