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Highfield Viking

6yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 68

Ayr · Book The Ladbrokes Ayr Gold Cup Handicap · 7f 50y

#7

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner last August. Below par when last seen at the start of the summer so his hopes are pinned on an 8-week break sparking a revival.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength50%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Chepstow 19/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 63 · 7f16y Gd 135 · beat its mark19/08/2025 · OR 63 par19/085OR 634 @ Thirsk 06/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 76 · 7f Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/09/2025 · OR 76 par4 @ Ayr 20/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 77 · 7f50y Sft 136 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/09/2025 · OR 77 par20/094OR 774 @ York 10/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 21 · OR 77 · 7f Gd 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/10/2025 · OR 77 par4 @ Catterick 18/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 76 · 7f6y Goo 136 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/10/2025 · OR 76 par18/104OR 765 @ Redcar 04/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 75 · 7f Goo 138 · beat its mark04/11/2025 · OR 75 par4 @ Beverley 23/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 74 · 7f96y Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/04/2026 · OR 74 par23/044OR 744 @ York 23/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 22 · OR 73 · 7f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 73 par5 @ Doncaster 14/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 71 · 7f6y Goo 131 · below its mark14/06/2026 · OR 71 par14/065OR 71projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-14Doncaster59th9th0
2026-05-23York410th9th+1
2026-04-23Beverley45th4th+1
2025-11-04Redcar56th6th0
2025-10-18Catterick43rd2nd+1
2025-10-10York47th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0810/1023/0414/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 13
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength39%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/08/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
06/09/20252nd11/142%93%+0.51
20/09/20255th4/179%60%-0.19
10/10/20257th22/10%70%+0.70
18/10/20253rd4/179%78%-0.01
04/11/20256th3/184%62%-0.23
23/04/20265th13/266%56%-0.10
23/05/202610th22/10%57%+0.57
14/06/20269th11/142%20%-0.22