Milford Grange
3yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 67
Ayr · Book The Ladbrokes Ayr Gold Cup Handicap · 7f 50y
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | York | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-07-10 | York | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Ayr | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Doncaster | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Ripon | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Pontefract | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 07/04/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 16/04/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 86% | -0.05 |
| 10/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 25/07/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |