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6

Sanafi Zabeel

5yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 64

Ayr · Book The Ladbrokes Ayr Gold Cup Handicap · 7f 50y

#10

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winner at Hamilton in May. Creditable fourth of 10 there (8.3f, good to firm) 7 days ago, leading until approaching the final furlong. This first attempt over 7f looks worth a go.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength59%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Hamilton 03/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 64 · 1m68y Gd 125 · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 64 par3/055OR 644 @ Hamilton 15/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 64 · 1m1f35y Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 64 par15/054OR 645 @ Hamilton 27/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 63 · 1m68y Goo 128 · beat its mark27/05/2026 · OR 63 par27/055OR 634 @ Ayr 19/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 66 · 1m2f Sft 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 66 par19/064OR 664 @ Hamilton 11/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 66 · 1m68y Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 66 par11/074OR 664 @ Hamilton 16/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 66 · 1m68y Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 66 par16/074OR 665 @ Hamilton 01/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 65 · 1m68y Gd 132 · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 65 par1/085OR 65projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-01Hamilton54th4th0
2026-07-16Hamilton43rd2nd+1
2026-07-11Hamilton43rd2nd+1
2026-06-19Ayr49th8th+1
2026-05-27Hamilton51st1st0
2026-05-15Hamilton43rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0519/061/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 13
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength32%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/05/20265th14/126%43%+0.17
15/05/20263rd16/116%78%+0.62
27/05/20261st16/583%100%+0.17
19/06/20269th9/276%11%-0.65
11/07/20263rd7/282%50%-0.32
16/07/20263rd5/174%50%-0.24
01/08/20264th3/184%67%-0.18