Patrick Street
7yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 50
Ayr · Festive Day Dancing At Ayr Racecourse Classified Stakes · 1m 2f
#9
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 7.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Kilbeggan | BHA82 | 5th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-06-20 | Down Royal | BHA50 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Tramore | BHA83 | 6th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-05-13 | Punchestown | BHA81 | 3rd | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-04-25 | Limerick | BHA44 | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-04-09 | Gowran Park | BHA46 | 9th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/12/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 16/01/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 11/02/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 09/04/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.38 |
| 25/04/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 13/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 30/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |
| 20/06/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 69% | -0.12 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 73% | +0.10 |