12
Resdev Time
3yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 48
Ayr · Festive Day Dancing At Ayr Racecourse Classified Stakes · 1m 2f
#11
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Pontefract | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Ripon | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Beverley | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Redcar | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Ripon | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Redcar | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 13
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength22%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 20/10/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 04/11/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 20/04/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.16 |
| 08/05/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 33% | -0.22 |
| 26/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 58% | +0.06 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 06/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 17/07/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |