Sanny Doo
3yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 43
Ayr · Festive Day Dancing At Ayr Racecourse Classified Stakes · 1m 2f
#12
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Ayr | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Carlisle | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Musselburgh | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Ayr | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-09 | Carlisle | 4 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-05-03 | Hamilton | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 25/04/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/05/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/06/2026 | 8th | 300/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 20/06/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/06/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 04/07/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 05/07/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |