7
Sassy Glory
5yo Mare · 9-9 · OR 50
Ayr · Festive Day Dancing At Ayr Racecourse Classified Stakes · 1m 2f
#6
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Newcastle | 6 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Newcastle | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Beverley | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Catterick | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Newcastle | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 13
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength89%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 10th | 9/4 | 88% | 10% | -0.78 |
| 14/10/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 63% | +0.20 |
| 28/03/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 13/04/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 27/04/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 70% | +0.44 |
| 11/05/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 38% | +0.33 |
| 16/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 25/06/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 25/07/2026 | 12th | 10/3 | 82% | 8% | -0.74 |