1
Keen To Go
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 104
Canterbury Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
40%
Place Prob
33%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-27 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-10-04 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-09-05 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-08-17 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-06-09 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2023-08-06 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 5
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength55%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2023 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 03/06/2023 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 22/07/2023 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 06/08/2023 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 09/06/2024 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 17/08/2024 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 05/09/2024 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 04/10/2024 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 27/10/2024 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 43% | -0.28 |