Ratleff
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 89
Canterbury Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Canterbury Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-03-02 | Turf Paradise | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-02-04 | Turf Paradise | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-01-26 | Turf Paradise | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-01-06 | Turf Paradise | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2024-10-20 | Santa Anita | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/2024 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 13/09/2024 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 04/10/2024 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 20/10/2024 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 06/01/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 26/01/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 04/02/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 02/03/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 25/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |