3
Spun Not Stirred
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 95
Canterbury Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
8/13
Win Prob
44%
Place Prob
35%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Turf Paradise | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-03-07 | Santa Anita | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-23 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-08 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength86%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 29/08/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 07/11/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 08/01/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 29% | -0.40 |
| 23/01/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 13/02/2026 | 2nd | 4/7 | 97% | 75% | -0.22 |
| 07/03/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 21/04/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |