5
Alltail
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 50
Canterbury Park · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
45%
Place Prob
33%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-04-11 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-04-04 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-03-07 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength48%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2024 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 31/01/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 07/03/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 04/04/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 27% | -0.25 |
| 11/04/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 21/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 25% | -0.64 |
| 12/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |