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4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 30
Canterbury Park · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
30%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-04 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength9%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 31/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 02/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |