1

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4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 30

Canterbury Park · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 5f

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

30%

Place Prob

27%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength15%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Canterbury Park 04/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 33 · 6f Fas 119 · beat its mark04/09/2025 · OR 33 par4/09C9OR 33C9 @ Canterbury Park 31/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 23 · 6f 125 · beat its mark31/05/2026 · OR 23 par31/05C9OR 23C9 @ Canterbury Park 02/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 25 · 7f 125 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 25 par2/07C9OR 25projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-02Canterbury Park?3rd3rd0
2026-05-31Canterbury Park?4th4th0
2025-09-04Canterbury Park?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0931/052/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength9%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/09/20253rd20/10%60%+0.60
31/05/20264th20/10%25%+0.25
02/07/20263rd4/179%50%-0.29