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3

Max Vegas

3yo Colt · 8-6 · OR 89

Canterbury Park · Race 3 - Allowance · 5f

#1

Rank

Odds

4/6

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

95%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 1.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Canterbury Park 21/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 5f110y 11821/08C6C5 @ Canterbury Park 21/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 77 · 6f Gd 122 · beat its mark21/09/2025 · OR 77 par21/09C5OR 77C5 @ Canterbury Park 21/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 83 · 5f Fm 120 · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 83 par21/06C5OR 83C5 @ Canterbury Park 05/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 87 · 5f 120 · beat its mark05/07/2026 · OR 87 par5/07C5OR 87projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-05Canterbury Park?1st1st0
2026-06-21Canterbury Park?2nd2nd0
2025-09-21Canterbury Park?2nd2nd0
2025-08-21Canterbury Park?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0821/0921/065/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength96%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/08/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
21/09/20252nd9/276%83%+0.07
21/06/20262nd9/276%80%+0.04
05/07/20261st4/696%100%+0.04